[Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (08 November 24) issued 0039 UT on 08 Nov 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Fri Nov 8 11:39:23 AEDT 2024

SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 08 NOVEMBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx

1. SUMMARY (01 NOVEMBER - 07 NOVEMBER)
Date     01    02    03    04    05    06    07
10cm    256   251   241   242   245   260   239
AFr       6     9     8    11    10     9  (  8)
Aaus      4    10     8     7     7     7  (  9)
T       144   139    97   152   165   145   152

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

01 Nov 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.3 at 0216UT, an M1.0 at 1016UT, 
              an M1.3 at 1252UT, and an M2.0 at 1431UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 01 Nov, a weak (9nT) impulse 
was observed at 0707UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Nov 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.1 at 0738UT, and an M1.2 at 
              0831UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Nov 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.1 at 0311UT, an M1.1 at 0849UT, 
              an M1.1 at 1518UT, and an M1.3 at 1753UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 03 Nov, a weak (11nT) impulse 
was observed at 1744UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Nov 
Solar:        R2, with an M1.1 at 0057UT, an M3.8 at 0140UT,
              an M1.1 at 0345UT, an M1.0 at 0415UT, an M1.4
              at 0434UT, an M1.3 at 0708UT, an M1.2 at 0840UT,
              an M1.6 at 1017UT, an M1.1 at 1428UT, an M1.3
              at 1508UT and an M5.5 at 1541UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced 40% during local night at Darwin.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Nov 
Solar:        R1, with an M2.6 at 0654UT, an M1.0 at 0923UT, 
              an M1.2 at 1339UT, an M2.9 at 1419UT, and an M4.1 
              at 1526UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

06 Nov 
Solar:        R3, with an M1.1 at 0238UT, an M1.2 at 0309UT, 
              an M2.9 at 0804UT, an M5.8 at 0850UT, an M1.6 at 
              1204UT, an M1.2 at 1302UT, an X2.3 at 1340UT, an 
              M1.1 at 1859UT, an M1.3 at 2043UT, and an M1.1 
              at 2306UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

07 Nov 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.1 at 2306UT, an M1.6 at 0004UT, 
              an M2.5 at 0127UT, an M2.5 at 0420UT, an M1.3 at 
              0726UT, an M2.7 at 0755UT, an M1.4 at 1202UT, and 
              an M2.3 at 1506UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 07 Nov, a weak (15nT) impulse 
was observed at 1515UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (08 NOVEMBER - 14 NOVEMBER)
Solar: 
Solar activity is expected to be at R1-R2 levels this week. No
significant returning regions are expected.  

Geomagnetic:  
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected this week. 

Frequencies:  
MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15%
enhanced this week. Shortwave fadeouts are probable. 

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au