[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 01 November 24 issued 2331 UT on 01 Nov 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Sat Nov 2 10:31:39 AEDT 2024


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 NOVEMBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Nov   144    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.3    0216UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.0    1016UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.3    1252UT  possible   lower  European
  M2.0    1431UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1850UT 26/10, Ended at 1955UT 31/10
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 2025UT 31/10, Ended at 0610UT 01/11

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      139
Nov      115
Dec      113


2. FORECAST (02 NOVEMBER - 04 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Nov   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
03 Nov   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
04 Nov   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 126 was issued on 
1 November and is current for 1-3 Nov. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 01-Nov were near predicted 
monthly values to 20% enhanced in northern Australia. Spread 
F was observed at Hobart during local night hours. MUFs are expected 
to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced over 02-04 
Nov. Shortwave fadeouts are probable.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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