[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 02 November 24 issued 2331 UT on 02 Nov 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 NOVEMBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Nov   139    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.1    0738UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.2    0831UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 2025UT 31/10, Ended at 0610UT 01/11

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      139
Nov      115
Dec      113


2. FORECAST (03 NOVEMBER - 05 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Nov   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
04 Nov   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
05 Nov   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 126 was issued on 
1 November and is current for 1-3 Nov. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 02-Nov were near predicted 
monthly values to 20% enhanced in northern Australia. Southern 
Australian MUFs were depressed by 15% during local day. Ionospheric 
scintillation was observed at Weipa over the interval 02/1217-1310UT. 
MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% 
enhanced over 03-05 Nov. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au