[Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (06 September 24) issued 0151 UT on 06 Sep 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Fri Sep 6 11:51:17 AEST 2024

SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 06 SEPTEMBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx

1. SUMMARY (30 AUGUST - 05 SEPTEMBER)
Date     30    31    01    02    03    04    05
10cm    214   232   226   238   242   262   241
AFr      16    19    16     7    10    16  (  6)
Aaus     14    11     8     5     3     9  (  3)
T       160   133   150   159   166   173   163

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

30 Aug 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.2 at 0206UT, and an M3.8 at 
              1220UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 30 Aug, a weak (28nT) impulse 
was observed at 0840UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-35% 
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Aug 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.1 at 0049UT, an M1.2 at 0238UT, 
              an M1.2 at 0859UT, and an M1.8 at 1302UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced.
      Depressed 15% during local night hours, recovering
      after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

01 Sep 
Solar:        R2, with an M1.4 at 0757UT, an M5.5 at 1323UT, 
              an M1.1 at 2000UT, and an M1.5 at 2249UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Sep 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.5 at 2249UT, an M1.9 at 0526UT, 
              an M1.8 at 1328UT, an M2.9 at 1343UT, an M1.4 at 
              2011UT, and an M1.5 at 2301UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Sep 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.5 at 2301UT, an M1.5 at 0722UT, 
              and an M3.3 at 1602UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 85% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15-20% during local night and after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30-35% during local night and after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Sep 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.4 at 0255UT, an M1.2 at 0456UT, 
              an M1.0 at 0601UT, an M1.0 at 1321UT, and an M1.2 
              at 2001UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 04 Sep, a weak (29nT) impulse 
was observed at 1033UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 50% during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Sep 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.0 at 0020UT, an M1.1 at 0325UT, 
              an M2.8 at 0856UT, and an M1.3 at 1325UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (06 SEPTEMBER - 12 SEPTEMBER)
Solar: 
Solar activity is expected to be at the R1 level with a 
chance of R2 throughout the week of 06-12 Sep.

Geomagnetic:  
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected for the week of
06-12 Sep, with a chance of G1 in the latter half of the 
week.

Frequencies:  
MUFs are expected to be near monthly predicted values to
30% enhanced throughout the week of 06-12 Sep, with the
strongest enhancements during local night hours. 

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au