[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (11 November 11) issued 0159 UT on 11 Nov 2011
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Nov 11 12:59:10 EST 2011
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED ON 11 NOVEMBER 2011, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
1. SUMMARY (04 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER)
Date 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
10cm 164 172 177 182 181 180 179
AFr 3 3 3 4 6 2 ( 3)
Aaus 3 2 4 6 9 3 ( 3)
T 131 111 130 144 131 120 139
Solar: Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies
04 Nov
Solar: moderate, with an M2.1 at 2337UT , and an M1.0 at
2040UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet. Isolated active to minor storm levels at
high latitudes.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
13-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
13-16 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly 15-40% enhanced at Darwin and 15-30% enhanced
at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced to 25%. Mostly near predicted monthly values
at Brisbane and Norfolk Is. No Hobart data.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
05 Nov
Solar: moderate, with an M3.8 at 0335UT , an M1.1 at 1123UT
, and an M1.8 at 2038UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet. Isolated active storm levels at high latitudes.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 35% 05-18
UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 20% 14-18
UT at Darwin and 01-13, 17-21 UT at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced 10-25%.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values. Occasional enhancements
to 25%.
06 Nov
Solar: moderate, with an M1.2 at 0103UT , and an M1.4 at
0635UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-50%
13-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-40%
09-16 and 22-23 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 05 UT then
enhanced 20-50%.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly 15-35% enhanced. No Hobart data 00-20 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
07 Nov
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet with isolated Unsettled periods.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 35% during local day.
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
08 Nov
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 65% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
09 Nov
Solar: moderate, with an M1.1 at 1340UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced 15-25% 00-10, 23 UT. Enhanced 30-50% 11-22 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 15-30% 00-05 and 10-20 UT. Near predicted
monthly values at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced 15-25% 00-14 UT, then enhanced 25-50%.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.
10 Nov
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 35% during local day.
Enhanced by 50% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
2. FORECAST (11 NOVEMBER - 17 NOVEMBER)
Solar:
Low. Possibility of M events.
Geomagnetic:
Mostly Quiet to Unsettled with the chance of Active
periods on 11-13 November.
Frequencies:
MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values.
Possible depressions at times for high latitudes.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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