[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (18 November 11) issued 0203 UT on 18 Nov 2011

Fri Nov 18 13:03:58 EST 2011

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 18 NOVEMBER 2011, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (11 NOVEMBER - 17 NOVEMBER)
Date     11    12    13    14    15    16    17
10cm    174   169   155   161   148   142   148
AFr       3     3     2     3     7     3 (  2)
Aaus      3     4     3     2     5     3 (  3)
T       143   137   142   158   155   143   150

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

11 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

12 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

13 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

14 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet. Unsettled to active periods early at high 
              latitudes. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to
      25% 00-07, 13-14 UT and enhancements to 45% 15-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced to 25% 00-05 UT. Enhanced to 30% 08-18 UT.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly 20-45% enhanced.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 20-40%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly 20-50% enhanced.

15 Nov 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.2 at 0913UT, an M1.9 at 1244UT,
              and an M1.1 at 2236UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet. Unsettled to minor storm periods at high 
              latitudes. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced
      00-10, 23 UT, otherwise 35-45% enhanced.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced
      00-11, 18-23 UT. Enhanced 30-50% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced
      00-15, 22-23 UT. Enhanced 30-55% at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly enhanced 20-45%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 45% enhanced.

16 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet. Active to minor storm levels at high latitudes. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 04-13 UT. Enhanced
      to 35% at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-07 and 19-22 UT.
      Enhanced to 35% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced
      00-06, 22-23 UT, then enhanced to 45% at Darwin.
      Enhanced 20-40% at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 20-40%. Near predicted monthly values to
      20% enhanced 00-10 UT Learmonth and Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

17 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet. Quiet to active levels at high latitudes. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. No data 09-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 15-25% 00-17 UT, then near predicted
      monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      At Darwin, near predicted monthly values 00-08 UT,
      then enhanced 20-40%. Enhanced 20-30% 00-08 UT, then
      enhanced 40-60% 09-17 UT at Townsville. No data at
      Townsville 18-23 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly enhanced 25-45%. Near predicted monthly values
      00-10 UT at Perth and 01-06, 15-18 UT at Learmonth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.

2. FORECAST (18 NOVEMBER - 24 NOVEMBER)
Solar: Low. Chance of moderate activity.

Geomagnetic: Possible active periods 18 and 19 Nov. Quiet to
	     unsettled otherwise.

Frequencies: Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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