[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (23 November 11) issued 0216 UT on 23 Nov 2011

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 23/0200Z NOVEMBER 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (16 NOVEMBER - 22 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
16 Nov  143      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 04-13 UT. Enhanced
      to 35% at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-07 and 19-22 UT.
      Enhanced to 35% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced
      00-06, 22-23 UT, then enhanced to 45% at Darwin.
      Enhanced 20-40% at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 20-40%. Near predicted monthly values to
      20% enhanced 00-10 UT Learmonth and Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

17 Nov  150      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. No data 09-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 15-25% 00-17 UT, then near predicted
      monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      At Darwin, near predicted monthly values 00-08 UT,
      then enhanced 20-40%. Enhanced 20-30% 00-08 UT, then
      enhanced 40-60% 09-17 UT at Townsville. No data at
      Townsville 18-23 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly enhanced 25-45%. Near predicted monthly values
      00-10 UT at Perth and 01-06, 15-18 UT at Learmonth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.

18 Nov  155      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-10, 18-23 UT.
      Enhanced to 45% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced to 40%. Near predicted monthly values 00,
      04-07,22-23 UT at Darwin. No data Darwin 01-03 UT
      and Townsville 00-07 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly 20-40% enhanced. No Hobart data 15-19 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly 20-40% enhanced.

19 Nov  162      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-04, 20-23 UT.
      Enhanced 20-40% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 20-50% at Townsville. Near predicted
      monthly values at Darwin 00-05 UT. No Darwin
      data 06-23 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly 20-45% above predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly 20-45% above predicted monthly values.

20 Nov  177      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-05, 19-23 UT.
      Enhanced 20-45% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 25-50% at Townsville and 22-23 UT at
      Darwin. No Darwin data 00-21 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly 25-50% enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly enhanced 20-45%.

21 Nov  152      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

22 Nov  128      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  66
2. FORECAST (23 NOVEMBER - 29 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs
T index:  66

3. OUTLOOK (30 NOVEMBER - 30 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
17-Dec,25-Dec.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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