[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (30 November 11) issued 0330 UT on 30 Nov 2011

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/0200Z NOVEMBER 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (23 NOVEMBER - 29 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
23 Nov  131      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 10% 18-21UT.
      Enhanced by 20-40% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
      Townsville no data after 06UT. 
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
      Sydney no data after 16UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

24 Nov  131      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20%.
      No data available after 16UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-40%.
      Townsville no data available.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Nov  136      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      No data after 05UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 45% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

26 Nov  141      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25-40% during local night.
      Townsville no data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20-40%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values 00-12UT.
      Absorption observed 12-24UT.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

27 Nov  141      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 10-20% after local dawn. 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 20-40% 
      during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Townsville no data. 
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

28 Nov  132      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25-50% between 00-17UT
      Enhanced by 15% from 18UT
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-30% over the last 24 hours
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

29 Nov  137      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20-40% between 00-16UT
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  66
2. FORECAST (30 NOVEMBER - 06 DECEMBER) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs possible.
T index:  66

3. OUTLOOK (07 DECEMBER - 06 JANUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
17-Dec.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


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