[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (16 November 11) issued 2351 UT on 15 Nov 2011
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 16 10:51:53 EST 2011
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/0200Z NOVEMBER 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (09 NOVEMBER - 15 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
09 Nov 120 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced 15-25% 00-10, 23 UT. Enhanced 30-50% 11-22 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 15-30% 00-05 and 10-20 UT. Near predicted
monthly values at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced 15-25% 00-14 UT, then enhanced 25-50%.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.
10 Nov 139 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 35% during local day.
Enhanced by 50% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
11 Nov 143 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
No data available during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
12 Nov 137 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
13 Nov 142 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
14 Nov 158 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to
25% 00-07, 13-14 UT and enhancements to 45% 15-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced to 25% 00-05 UT. Enhanced to 30% 08-18 UT.
Near predicted monthly values at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly 20-45% enhanced.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced 20-40%.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Mostly 20-50% enhanced.
15 Nov 155 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced
00-10, 23 UT, otherwise 35-45% enhanced.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced
00-11, 18-23 UT. Enhanced 30-50% at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced
00-15, 22-23 UT. Enhanced 30-55% at other times.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly enhanced 20-45%.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 45% enhanced.
Predicted Monthly T index for November: 66
2. FORECAST (16 NOVEMBER - 22 NOVEMBER)
MUFS: Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs possible.
T index: 120
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 51 was issued
on 15 November and is current for interval
16-18 November (SWFs) .
3. OUTLOOK (23 NOVEMBER - 23 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: None
PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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