[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 29 August 26 issued 2330 UT on 29 Aug 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Sun Aug 30 09:30:49 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/29 AUGUST 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 29 AUGUST AND FORECAST FOR 30 AUGUST - 01 SEPTEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 29 Aug:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 29 Aug: 111/62


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             30 Aug             31 Aug             01 Sep
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   108/58             103/52             110/60

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 29-Aug was R0, with no 
solar flares. There are currently six numbered sunspot regions 
on the solar disk. Active region (AR) 4520 (S12E21, beta) has 
grown in the past day but appears to have stabilised. All other 
regions are either stable or in decay. Solar activity is expected 
to be R0 over 30-31 Aug and 1-Sep. No CMEs were observed on UT 
day 29-Aug. S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed 
on UT day 29-Aug. S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected 
over 30-31 Aug and 1-Sep. SO UT day 29-Aug the solar wind environment 
remained disturbed from the previous day's CME arrivals and coronal 
hole influence. The solar wind speed ranged from 350 to 470 km/s. 
The peak total interplanetary field strength (IMF, Bt) was 13 
nT and the north-south IMF component range (Bz) was +9 to -11 
nT, with several periods of southward Bz at the beginning of 
the day. The solar wind is expected to begin recovering, with 
some brief enhanced periods due to some weak coronal hole features 
currently nearing a geoeffective location.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 29 Aug: G0

Estimated Indices 29 Aug : A   K           
   Australian Region      10   32322232
      Cocos Island         8   32222231
      Darwin              11   33322232
      Townsville          11   33322232
      Learmonth           12   33322332
      Alice Springs       11   33322232
      Gingin              12   32322342
      Canberra            10   22323232
      Kennaook Cape Grim  10   22333231
      Hobart              10   22333231    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 29 Aug :
      Macquarie Island    29   33556331
      Casey               13   43332232
      Mawson              48   65533374

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 29 Aug : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              16   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 29 Aug : A 
           Fredericksburg        15
           Planetary             19                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 28 Aug :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             15   1112 4344     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
30 Aug    12    G0
31 Aug     8    G0
01 Sep     6    G0

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
region on UT day 29-Aug. G1-G3 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Antarctic region. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected 
over 30-31 Aug and 1-Sep.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
29 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
30 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal
31 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal
01 Sep      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 29-Aug were 
mostly normal, with some brief degradations in the northern hemisphere 
high latitudes. HF radio propagation conditions are expected 
to be mostly normal over 30-31 Aug to 1-Sep.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
29 Aug    86

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      75
Aug      64
Sep      61

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
30 Aug    95    Near predicted monthly values
31 Aug    90    Near predicted monthly values
01 Sep    90    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 29-Aug were near predicted values to 15% enhanced. 
Ionospheric scintillation was observed in Darwin at 1544 UT. 
MUFs are expected to be mostly near predicted monthly values 
over 30-31 Aug and 1-Sep.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 28 Aug
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.6E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.4E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.20E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 5%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B4.2

Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 28 Aug
Speed: 294 km/sec  Density:    9.6 p/cc  Temp:    51700 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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