[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 28 August 26 issued 2330 UT on 28 Aug 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Sat Aug 29 09:30:51 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/28 AUGUST 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 28 AUGUST AND FORECAST FOR 29 AUGUST - 31 AUGUST
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 28 Aug:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 28 Aug: 116/68


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             29 Aug             30 Aug             31 Aug
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   116/68             112/63             110/60

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 28-Aug was R0, with no solar 
flares. There are currently five numbered sunspot regions on 
the solar disk, however all are stable. Active region (AR) 4513 
(N04W45, beta) has significantly reduced in complexity. Solar 
activity is expected to be R0 over 19-31 Aug. No Earth directed 
CMEs were observed on UT day 28-Aug. S0 solar radiation storm 
conditions were observed on UT day 28-Aug. S0 solar radiation 
storm conditions are expected over 29-31 Aug. The solar wind 
environment on UT day 28-Aug was mildly disturbed towards the 
end of the day, possibly due to the anticipated CME arrivals 
from 1400 UT, although the signature is not strong. The solar 
wind speed ranged from 250 to 380 km/s. The peak total interplanetary 
field strength (IMF, Bt) was 14 nT and the north-south IMF component 
range (Bz) was +10 to -13 nT. Several periods of southward Bz 
were observed towards the end of the day. Some intermittent coronal 
hole connections are possible over 29-31 Aug to briefly enhance 
the solar wind speed, but in general the solar wind is expected 
to be near background levels.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 28 Aug: G0

Estimated Indices 28 Aug : A   K           
   Australian Region       7   01112333
      Cocos Island         6   00112233
      Darwin               7   02102333
      Townsville           9   12113333
      Learmonth            9   11112334
      Alice Springs        6   01102323
      Gingin               7   10002234
      Canberra             6   10003233
      Kennaook Cape Grim   8   00113333
      Hobart               8   00113333    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 28 Aug :
      Macquarie Island    10   00025321
      Casey                7   21212223
      Mawson              24   30102337

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 28 Aug : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 28 Aug : A 
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             20                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 27 Aug :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              4   1111 1101     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
29 Aug    16    G0-G1
30 Aug     8    G0
31 Aug     6    G0

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed on UT day 28-Aug 
in the Australian region. G0-G1 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Antarctic region. Mostly G0 geomagnetic conditions are 
expected on UT day 29-Aug, with possible periods of G1 due to 
ongoing disturbed solar wind conditions. G0 geomagnetic conditions 
are expected over 30-31 Aug.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
28 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal         

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
29 Aug      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Normal-fair
30 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal
31 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 28-Aug were 
mostly normal, globally. HF radio propagation conditions are 
expected to be mostly normal over 29-31 Aug, with some degraded 
conditions possible near local dawn hours on 29-Aug due to current 
disturbed solar wind conditions.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
28 Aug    75

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      75
Aug      64
Sep      61

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
29 Aug    75    Near predicted monthly values
30 Aug    85    Near predicted monthly values to 10-15% enhanced
31 Aug    85    Near predicted monthly values to 10-15% enhanced

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 28-Aug were mostly near predicted values to 
15% enhanced. Conditions were degraded in Darwin during local 
dawn hours. Scintillation was observed in Niue at 1618 UT. MUFs 
are expected to be near predicted values over 29-31 Aug, with 
10-15% enhancements possible by 30-Aug.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 27 Aug
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.7E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 8.60E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:10%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B4.6

Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 27 Aug
Speed: 259 km/sec  Density:    3.1 p/cc  Temp:    23500 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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