[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 06 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 06 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Tue Apr 7 09:30:42 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 06 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 07 APRIL - 09 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 06 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 06 Apr: 116/68


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             07 Apr             08 Apr             09 Apr
Activity     R0-R1              R0-R1              R0-R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   110/60             105/54             105/54

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level on UT day 06-Apr. 
Solar region AR4409 (N05W37, beta-gamma) is the most significant 
solar region on the visible solar disk and is in decay. Small 
solar region AR4412 (N10W01, beta) is growing. There are currently 
seven sunspot regions on the visible solar disk. The solar regions 
are mostly small in size and generally located in the western 
solar hemisphere with the eastern solar hemisphere largely devoid 
of spots. All other regions are either stable or in decay. A 
new solar region is rotating onto the solar disk at solar latitude 
N12. A small 10-15 degree long solar filament located at S40W55 
erupted at 06/1350UT in GONG H-alpha imagery. Solar flare activity 
is expected to be R0-R1 over 07-09 Apr. S0 solar radiation storm 
conditions were observed on 06-Apr. S0 solar radiation storm 
conditions are expected over 07-09 Apr. No Earth directed coronal 
mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. No CME appeared to follow 
the filament eruption in the far southwest solar quadrant, with 
coronagraph imagery available up to 06/1524UT. A number of coronal 
holes appear to be in the eastern solar hemisphere. On the previous 
solar rotation this was one large thin hole and now appears to 
have closed in places, resulting in isolated hole segments. The 
solar wind speed was steady and moderate to strong on 06-Apr. 
The solar wind speed ranged from 498 to 545 km/s, and is currently 
at 500 km/s. The peak total interplanetary magnetic field strength 
(IMF, Bt) was 5 nT and the north-south component (Bz) range was 
-5 and +5 nT. The solar wind speed is expected to continue to 
decline towards background levels over 07-08 Apr. Solar wind 
27 day recurrence patterns suggest a strong increase in the solar 
wind over 09-10 Apr, however on this solar rotation the coronal 
hole appears to be more segemented and reduced in area, implying 
a reduced influence on the solar wind speed. The flux of electrons 
with an energy of greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit 
as measured by the US GOES satellite has been enhanced, which 
is statistically associated with the increased risk of geosynchronous 
satellite operational anomalies.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 06 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 06 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region       6   12222221
      Cocos Island         5   12212220
      Darwin               8   22222232
      Townsville           6   22122222
      Learmonth            -   --------
      Alice Springs        5   12122221
      Gingin               8   12222331
      Canberra             6   12222221
      Kennaook Cape Grim   8   12222332
      Hobart               6   12222222    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 06 Apr :
      Macquarie Island     9   12234221
      Casey               19   35433332
      Mawson              26   34333364

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 06 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth           NA
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin              13   (Quiet)
      Canberra            20   (Quiet)
      Hobart              18   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 06 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 05 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             12   4333 2211     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
07 Apr     6    G0
08 Apr     6    G0
09 Apr    16    G0-G1

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
on UT day 06-Apr. G0-G2 conditions were observed in the Antarctic 
region. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected for 07-08 Apr. 
A coronal hole wind stream may induce G1 periods from late 09-Apr 
to 10-Apr, though the coronal hole appears greatly reduced in 
area on this rotation.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Apr      Normal         Normal         Fair-normal    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal
08 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal
09 Apr      Normal         Normal-fair    Fair

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions were generally normal 
on 06-Apr. HF conditions are expected to be mostly normal over 
07-08 Apr, with fair conditions expected 09-10 Apr at middle 
to high latitudes.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
06 Apr    86

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
07 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values
08 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values
09 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 35 was issued on 
5 April and is current for 6-7 Apr. Maximum Usable Frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 06-Apr were mostly 
near predicted values. Spread F was observed at Hobart during 
local night hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly 
values over 07-09 Apr. Southern Australian region HF conditions 
may become mildly degraded during local night hours over 10-11 
Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 05 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   7.6E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  4.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.10E+08   (moderate fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:16%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.0

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 05 Apr
Speed: 543 km/sec  Density:    1.1 p/cc  Temp:   116000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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