[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 07 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 07 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Wed Apr 8 09:30:45 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 08 APRIL - 10 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Apr: 109/59


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Apr             09 Apr             10 Apr
Activity     R0,chance R1       R0,chance R1       R0,chance R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   105/54             105/54             105/54

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level on UT day 07-Apr 
with no significant flares observed. The recent region of interest 
AR4409 (N05W52, beta) is in overall decay with some umbral convergence 
in its leader spot and some minor redevelopment in intermediate 
penumbra. This region produced a C5.7 flare at 07/1832UT. Very 
small region AR4412 (N10W16, beta) that was growing yesterday 
has now rapidly decayed. A new small region AR4413 (N08W58, beta) 
has emerged on disk just to the west of AR4408 (N08W42, alpha). 
A new unnumbered solar region is rotating onto the solar disk 
at solar latitude N12. At this stage this region appears to be 
relatively small in size and magnetically simple, though more 
spots may rotate onto the disk. There are currently seven numbered 
sunspot regions and one new unnumbered region on the visible 
solar disk. All other regions are either stable or in decay. 
A faint/thin solar filament lifted off the disk located at S20W40 
lifted off at 07/1550UT in GONG H-alpha imagery. Solar flare 
activity is expected to be R0,chance R1 over 08-10 Apr. S0 solar 
radiation storm conditions were observed on 07-Apr. S0 solar 
radiation storm conditions are expected over 08-10 Apr. No Earth 
directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. No CME 
was associated with the minor filament eruption. Two isolated 
equatorial coronal holes are approaching/crossing the solar central 
meridian. The solar wind speed was moderate on 07-Apr with a 
declining trend. The solar wind speed ranged from 400 to 523 
km/s, and is currently at 424 km/s. The peak total interplanetary 
magnetic field strength (IMF, Bt) was 5 nT and the north-south 
component (Bz) range was -5 and +3 nT. The IMF Bz component was 
mildly southward during the second half of the UT day. The solar 
wind speed is expected to continue to decline towards background 
levels on 08-Apr. Solar wind 27 day recurrence patterns suggest 
that the solar wind will increase over 09-10 Apr, but due to 
reduction/fragmentation in area of the coronal hole on this rotation 
the increase in the solar wind speed may not be as strong on 
this rotation. The flux of electrons with an energy of greater 
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit as measured by the US GOES 
satellite has been enhanced, which is statistically associated 
with the increased risk of geosynchronous satellite operational 
anomalies.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 07 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22111311
      Cocos Island         4   12010311
      Darwin               6   22101322
      Townsville           6   22211311
      Learmonth            -   --------
      Alice Springs        5   22101311
      Gingin               6   21111322
      Canberra             5   21202311
      Kennaook Cape Grim   6   21212311
      Hobart               6   21212311    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 07 Apr :
      Macquarie Island     7   22302320
      Casey               10   33222322
      Mawson              31   64321346

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth           NA
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               2   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary             10  1322 3223     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Apr     6    G0
09 Apr    17    G0-G1
10 Apr    18    G0-G1

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 26 was issued on 7 April and 
is current for 9-10 Apr. G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Australian on UT day 07-Apr. G0-G2 conditions were observed 
in the Antarctic region. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected 
on 08-Apr. A coronal hole wind stream is expected to induce G1 
periods from late 09-Apr to 10-Apr.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal         

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal
09 Apr      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair
10 Apr      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions were generally normal 
on 07-Apr. HF conditions are expected to be mostly normal on 
08-Apr, with fair conditions expected 09-10 Apr at middle to 
high latitudes.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
07 Apr    97

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values
09 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values
10 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum Usable Frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 07-Apr were mostly near predicted values to 
15% enhanced. Darwin MUFs were 40-50% enhanced during local night 
hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values 
over 08-10 Apr. Southern Australian region HF conditions may 
become mildly degraded during local night hours over 10-11 Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 06 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.60E+08   (moderate fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:17%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B4.7

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Apr
Speed: 529 km/sec  Density:    1.7 p/cc  Temp:   115000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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