[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 05 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 05 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Mon Apr 6 09:30:43 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 05 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 06 APRIL - 08 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 05 Apr:  R0

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0 04/2304UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Apr: 118/70


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             06 Apr             07 Apr             08 Apr
Activity     R1, chance of R2   R1, chance of R2   R1, chance of R2
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   118/70             115/66             113/64

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level on UT day 05-Apr, 
with no M-class or greater flares observed. There are currently 
six sunspot regions on the visible disk, with Active Region (AR) 
4409 (N05W25, beta-gamma) being the most magnetically complex. 
This region has shown some spot redistribution over the last 
24 hours, and has remained largely stable. Newly numbered AR 
4412 appeared on the solar disk at N10E11, and currently exhibits 
an alpha magnetic classification. All other regions are either 
stable or in decay. Solar flare activity is expected to be at 
the R1 level, with a chance of R2, over the period 06-08 Apr, 
due to ongoing flare activity from AR 4409. S0 solar proton conditions 
were observed throughout 05-Apr, with the solar proton flux continuing 
to slowly decline toward background values. S0 solar proton conditions 
are expected over 06-08 Apr. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections 
(CMEs) were observed in coronagraph imagery over the last 24 
hours. The solar wind speed remained strong on 05-Apr, while 
slowly declining across the UT day. The solar wind speed began 
the day ranging between 570-590 km/s, and by the end of the UT 
day was ranging between 520-540 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic 
field strength (IMF, Bt) remained mostly constant across the 
UT day, peaking at 6 nT, with the north-south component (Bz) 
ranging between -5 and +5 nT. The solar wind speed is expected 
to continue to decline towards background levels over 06-08 Apr.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 05 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 05 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region      11   32333311
      Cocos Island         5   22222210
      Darwin              10   33323212
      Townsville           9   32233301
      Learmonth            -   --------
      Alice Springs        8   22232302
      Gingin              10   22333312
      Canberra             7   22232301
      Kennaook Cape Grim  11   32333311
      Hobart              12   33333311    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 05 Apr :
      Macquarie Island    15   22354310
      Casey               18   44532312
      Mawson              34   66433433

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 05 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth           NA
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               2   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart              24   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 05 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg        11
           Planetary             12                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 04 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             16   5433 1242     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
06 Apr     8    G0
07 Apr     6    G0
08 Apr     6    G0

COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions in the Australian region remained 
at the G0 level on UT day 05-Apr, with G0 geomagnetic conditions 
also reported at the planetary level. G1-G2 intervals were recorded 
in the Antarctic region. G0 geomagnetic conditions are forecast 
for 06-08 Apr.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
05 Apr      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
07 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
08 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions were fair-normal on UT 
day 05-Apr, with conditions improving across the last 24 hours. 
Early observed ionospheric degradations were due to the lingering 
effects of previous geomagnetic activity, but trended towards 
normal by the end of the UT day. MUFs in the European region 
were depressed by 15%. Ionospheric conditions are expected to 
be mostly normal over 06-08 Apr. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
05 Apr    84

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
06 Apr    85    Near predicted monthly values
07 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values
08 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum Usable Frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region were mostly near predicted values on 05-Apr, with some 
enhancements seen during local daylight hours in the northern 
Australian region, as well as at Niue Island and the Cocos Islands. 
Some sporadic-E was observed during local night hours across 
the Australian region, and spread F was observed in Hobart. MUFs 
are expected to be near predicted monthly values over 06-08 Apr. 
Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 04 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.3E+07
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.3E+05
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.70E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:10%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.8

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 04 Apr
Speed: 622 km/sec  Density:    0.7 p/cc  Temp:   173000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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