[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 15 June 09

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z JUNE 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 15 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 16 JUNE - 18 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 15 Jun:  Very low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 15 Jun:  67/0

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             16 Jun             17 Jun             18 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    68/2               68/2               68/2

COMMENT: The visible disc is spotless. Solar wind speed remained
below 360 km/s over the 24 hours. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 15 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 15 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   12111101
      Darwin               2   12100101
      Townsville           5   22211212
      Learmonth            3   12211100
      Camden               2   12100001
      Canberra             1   12000000
      Hobart               3   12111101
      Casey(Ant)           4   12211111
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 15 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 15 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 14 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              6   3001 1122     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
16 Jun     5    Quiet 
17 Jun     5    Quiet 
18 Jun     5    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
15 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
16 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal        
17 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal        
18 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
15 Jun     2

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressions to
      40% at Vanimo 10-13 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressions to
      about 25% at Cocos Is, Darwin and Townsville around
      17-22 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40% at
      Canberra, Christchurch and Sydney 08-21 UT. Night
      spread F observed at Hobart, Learmonth and Norfolk
      Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   5

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
16 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 
17 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 
18 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 14 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   7.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.50E+04   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 1%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 14 Jun
Speed: 312 km/sec  Density:    0.6 p/cc  Temp:    16400 K  Bz:  -2 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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