[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 10 June 07

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 10/2330Z JUNE 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 10 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 11 JUNE - 13 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 10 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 10 Jun:  76/14

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             11 Jun             12 Jun             13 Jun
Activity     Very low to Low    Very low to Low    Very low to Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    75/13              75/13              75/13

COMMENT: The Solar wind is approximately 400km/s. The Bz component 
of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between +5 and 
-6 nT over the last 24 hours and was mostly northward. AR960 
no longer has a complex magnetic field and it would be expected 
that the solar flare activity would continue to decrease over 
the next 3 days. 

-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 10 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 10 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22222011
      Townsville           7   22322122
      Learmonth            7   22------
      Camden               3   21211010
      Canberra             4   21222010
      Hobart               3   21212010
      Casey(Ant)           8   33222121
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 10 Jun : 
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden              53   (Unsettled)
      Canberra             5   (Quiet)
      Hobart              21   (Quiet to unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 10 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 09 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              8   1122 3122     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
11 Jun     6    Quiet 
12 Jun     6    Quiet 
13 Jun     8    Quiet to Unsettled 

-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
13 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
10 Jun    11

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values. 

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   9

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
11 Jun     9    near predicted monthly values 
12 Jun     9    near predicted monthly values 
13 Jun     9    near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: Noted sporadic E in the equatorial and northern Australian 
region during the local night, otherwise expect normal HF conditions. 
-----------------------------------------------------------
5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 09 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.1E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.20E+06   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 1%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A4.2

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 09 Jun
Speed: 438 km/sec  Density:    2.2 p/cc  Temp:    84600 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
-----------------------------------------------------------


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and 
services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to 
receive this promotional material please email 
no-spam at ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE"