[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 January 06

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JANUARY 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 09 JANUARY - 11 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jan:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jan:  78/17


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jan             10 Jan             11 Jan
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              80/20

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jan: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 08 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   12231111
      Darwin               3   11121101
      Learmonth            3   21121100
      Culgoora             3   021-----
      Camden               6   12222131
      Canberra             5   12231201
      Hobart               4   12131100
      Casey(Ant)           8   3-331211
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 Jan : 
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station. 


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              5   1122 1210     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jan     3    Quiet 
10 Jan     4    Quiet 
11 Jan     3    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions are expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: Generally normal HF conditions expected. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
08 Jan    27

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  18

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.2E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.90E+06 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 2%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A2.1

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Jan
Speed: 388 km/sec  Density:    2.9 p/cc  Temp:    56700 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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