[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 January 06

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z JANUARY 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 08 JANUARY - 10 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Jan:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Jan:  79/19


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Jan             09 Jan             10 Jan
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              80/20


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Jan: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 07 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   22212311
      Darwin               5   21112310
      Learmonth            5   21112310
      Culgoora             6   22212311
      Camden               7   22222321
      Canberra             6   22212311
      Hobart               5   12212310
      Casey(Ant)          11   ---33321
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 Jan : 
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station. 


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              7                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              6   1222 3211     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Jan     7    Quiet 
09 Jan     6    Quiet 
10 Jan     7    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions now expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
09 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: Generally normal HF conditions expected. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
07 Jan    29

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  18

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 
09 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jan    20    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 06 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   8.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.90E+07 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 3%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A2.8

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Jan
Speed: 357 km/sec  Density:    2.1 p/cc  Temp:    76100 K  Bz:  -2 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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