[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 27 November 05

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/2330Z NOVEMBER 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 27 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 28 NOVEMBER - 30 NOVEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 27 Nov:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 27 Nov:  81/22


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             28 Nov             29 Nov             30 Nov
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              80/20




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 27 Nov: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 27 Nov :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   2111 0112
      Darwin               3   1211 0112
      Learmonth            3   2111 0122
      Culgoora             2   1111 0111
      Canberra             2   1111 0112
      Hobart               3   1121 0111
      Casey(Ant)           7   3--2 1122
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 27 Nov : 
      Townsville          NA
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station. 


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 27 Nov : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 26 Nov :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              5   2022 2101     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
28 Nov     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
29 Nov     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
30 Nov     8    Quiet to Unsettled 


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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
27 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
28 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal        
29 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal        
30 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
27 Nov    11

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted with depressions to 30% 12-16 UT.
      Spread F observed 17-19 UT and sporadic E at 01-06,
      13-19 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted with depressions to 25% observed at
      Darwin 02-05 UT. Sporadic E, sometimes blanketing,
      observed 01-12 UT. Spread F observed at Niue 11-16
      UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Sporadic E observed at
      most stations throughout. Spread F observed at Hobart
      12-18 UT and at Christchurch 09-19 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  20

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
28 Nov    10    Near predicted monthly values with depressions 
                at times to 25%. Sporadic E may cause disruptions 
                to F region communications at times. 
29 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values 
30 Nov    10    near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 26 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   4.5E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.4E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.30E+08 (moderate fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:12%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A7.8

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 26 Nov
Speed: NA km/sec  Density:  NA p/cc  Temp:  NA K  Bz:  NA nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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