[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 June 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z JUNE 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 10 JUNE - 12 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/current
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Jun: 157/111

http://www.ips.gov.au/learmonth/solar     http://www.ips.gov.au/culgoora

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Jun             11 Jun             12 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   155/109            150/105            145/99


Previously M-flare(s) producing region 9957 is due for return 
to the north-east limb around 11 Jun. 
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_geomag

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 09 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       7   2222 2221
      Darwin               8   2322 2221
      Townsville           7   222- ----
      Learmonth            5   2222 1121
      Canberra             6   2212 2221
      Hobart               7   2222 2222
      Casey(Ant)           8   3312 1222
      Davis(Ant)           7   2322 21--
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 JUN : 
      Darwin              20   (Quiet)
      Townsville          NA
      Learmonth            2   (Quiet)
      Canberra            50   (Unsettled)
      Hobart              51   (Unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             12                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             15   2113 4434     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Jun     6    Quiet 
11 Jun     6    Quiet 
12 Jun     6    Quiet 
COMMENT: 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_hf

Date   T index
09 Jun   123

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 50% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 107

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Jun   110    near predicted monthly values 
11 Jun   110    Near predicted monthly values 
12 Jun   110    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.2E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.80E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B4.3
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 Jun
Speed: 344 km/sec  Density:    8.4 p/cc  Temp:    73700 K  Bz:   2 nT
http://sec.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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