[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 June 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JUNE 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 09 JUNE - 11 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/current
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jun: 155/109

http://www.ips.gov.au/learmonth/solar     http://www.ips.gov.au/culgoora

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jun             10 Jun             11 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   150/105            150/105            155/109

A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 1027UT 
on 08 Jun. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_geomag

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jun: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 08 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   1113 2223
      Darwin               9   1213 3233
      Townsville           -   ---- ----
      Learmonth            7   1103 2233
      Canberra             6   0113 2223
      Hobart               4   1002 2223
      Casey(Ant)           5   1212 221-
      Davis(Ant)           8   1233 221-
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 JUN : 
      Darwin              10   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             15                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              9   1222 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jun    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
10 Jun    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
11 Jun     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
COMMENT: 
A weak (13nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetomter data 
at 1141UT on 08 Jun. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
COMMENT: 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_hf

Date   T index
08 Jun   108

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 107

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jun   110    near predicted monthly values 
10 Jun   110    near predicted monthly values 
11 Jun   100    Near predicted monthly values 
COMMENT: 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.6E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.2E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.30E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.9
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Jun
Speed: 311 km/sec  Density:    4.8 p/cc  Temp:    28300 K  Bz:   2 nT
http://sec.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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