[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 06 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 06 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 07 JULY - 09 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 06 Jul:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 06 Jul: 116/68

GOES satellite data for 05 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.1E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 8.60E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.7
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             07 Jul             08 Jul             09 Jul
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   115/66             120/72             125/78




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 06 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 06 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   1112 2222
      Darwin               6   2112 1232
      Townsville           3   1002 0220
      Learmonth           12   2323 33--
      Canberra             5   1112 2223
      Hobart               5   1112 2221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 06 JUL : 
      Darwin               2   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              14   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             13   2333 3332     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
07 Jul    15    Unsettled to Active 
08 Jul    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
09 Jul     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
COMMENT: Mild activity, with isolated active periods may be experienced 
during the forecast period. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
08 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
09 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
COMMENT: Mildly degraded HF conditions expected at high latitudes 
only during local night hours. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
06 Jul   125

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 40% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
07 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 
08 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 
09 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 


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