[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 08 JULY - 10 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Jul:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Jul: 118/70

GOES satellite data for 06 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   9.2E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.00E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B2.1
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Jul             09 Jul             10 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   120/72             125/78             130/84




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 07 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   1111 2212
      Darwin               4   1211 2122
      Townsville           1   0000 1111
      Learmonth            6   2212 2223
      Canberra             3   1111 1211
      Hobart               3   0101 2212
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 JUL : 
      Darwin               2   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             6   (Quiet)
      Hobart               6   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary             10   2213 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Jul    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
09 Jul     9    Quiet to Unsettled 
10 Jul    10    Quiet to Unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
09 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
07 Jul   124

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 20-40%.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Jul   120    Near predicted monthly values 
09 Jul   120    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jul   120    Near predicted monthly values 


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