[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 12 January 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/2330Z JANUARY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 12 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 13 JANUARY - 15 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 12 Jan:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 12 Jan: 178/131

GOES satellite data for 11 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   7.5E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.2E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B8.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             13 Jan             14 Jan             15 Jan
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   175/129            180/133            185/138


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 12 Jan: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 12 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region        6   3222 1112
      Darwin                3   2211 1010
      Townsville            5   3211 1113
      Learmonth             5   3212 1102
      Canberra              4   2222 1011
      Hobart                8   3332 2103
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 12 JAN : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville            0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             11   (Quiet)
      Hobart                2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 12 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 11 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              5   1001 2232     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
13 Jan    10    Unsettled 
14 Jan     8    Quiet to unsettled 
15 Jan     7    Quiet to unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
12 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
13 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        
14 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        
15 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
12 Jan   173

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for January: 117

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
13 Jan   120    Near predicted monthly values 
14 Jan   130    Near predicted monthly values 
15 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 


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