[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 20 November 00

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 20/2330Z NOVEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 20 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 21 NOVEMBER - 23 NOVEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 20 Nov:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 20 Nov: 174/128

GOES satellite data for 19 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  8.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.00E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: C1.4
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             21 Nov             22 Nov             23 Nov
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   180/133            180/133            185/138

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 20 Nov: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 20 Nov :  A   K           
   Australian Region        7   2222 2223
      Darwin                6   1222 2223
      Townsville            8   --22 3033
      Learmonth             6   22-1 2223
      Canberra              8   2222 2323
      Hobart                8   2222 2322
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 20 NOV : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           NA
      Learmonth            NA
      Canberra             12   (Quiet)
      Hobart               26   (Quiet to unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 20 Nov : A 
           Fredericksburg         9
           Planetary             12                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 19 Nov :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              7   1223 2222     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
21 Nov    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
22 Nov    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
23 Nov     7    Quiet 
COMMENT: IPS Geomagnetic Warning 50 was issued on 20 November 
and is current for interval 24-25 November. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
20 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
21 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
22 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
23 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
20 Nov   158

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
near predicted monthly values

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 133

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
21 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 
22 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 
23 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 


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