[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 19 November 00

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/2330Z NOVEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 19 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 20 NOVEMBER - 22 NOVEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 19 Nov:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 19 Nov: 175/129

GOES satellite data for 18 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.7E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.0E+05
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.00E+08 (moderate)
       X-ray background: B8.3
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             20 Nov             21 Nov             22 Nov
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   180/133            185/138            185/138

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 19 Nov: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 19 Nov :  A   K           
   Australian Region        6   1232 2112
      Darwin                4   2221 1112
      Townsville            6   1033 2112
      Learmonth             6   ---2 212-
      Canberra              6   1223 2102
      Hobart                8   1333 1112
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 19 NOV : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           NA
      Learmonth            NA
      Canberra              6   (Quiet)
      Hobart                0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 19 Nov : A 
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             12                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 18 Nov :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              6   0011 2233     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
20 Nov    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
21 Nov    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
22 Nov     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
19 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
20 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
21 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
22 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
19 Nov   155

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
near predicted monthly values

Predicted Monthly T index for November: 133

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
20 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 
21 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 
22 Nov   140    near predicted monthly values 


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