[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 15 December 00
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Dec 16 10:31:34 EST 2000
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 15 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 16 DECEMBER - 18 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:GREEN ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 15 Dec: Low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 15 Dec: 188/141
GOES satellite data for 14 Dec
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 5.2E+05
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.0E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+08 (moderate)
X-ray background: B6.2
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec
Activity Low Low Low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 190/143 190/143 195/147
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 15 Dec: Quiet
Estimated Indices 15 Dec : A K
Australian Region 3 2111 1112
Darwin 2 1101 1112
Townsville 2 ---2 0011
Learmonth 2 2011 1102
Canberra 2 1011 1113
Hobart 3 2111 1012
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 15 DEC :
Darwin 0 (Quiet)
Townsville 2 (Quiet)
Learmonth 0 (Quiet)
Canberra 0 (Quiet)
Hobart 0 (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 15 Dec : A
Fredericksburg 3
Planetary 6
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 14 Dec : A K
Fredericksburg 2
Planetary 4 1001 2222
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
16 Dec 7 Quiet
17 Dec 7 Quiet
18 Dec 7 Quiet
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
15 Dec Normal Normal Normal
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
16 Dec Normal Normal Normal
17 Dec Normal Normal Normal
18 Dec Normal Normal Normal
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date T index
15 Dec 148
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
near predicted monthly values
Predicted Monthly T index for December: 130
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
16 Dec 140 near predicted monthly values
17 Dec 140 near predicted monthly values
18 Dec 140 near predicted monthly values
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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