[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 11 December 00

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 11/2330Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 11 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 12 DECEMBER - 14 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 11 Dec:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 11 Dec: 144/98

GOES satellite data for 10 Dec
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   4.2E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  9.1E+03
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.80E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: B5.8
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             12 Dec             13 Dec             14 Dec
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   148/102            150/105            160/114


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 11 Dec: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 11 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region        5   2222 1113
      Darwin                6   3222 1113
      Townsville            4   2222 0112
      Learmonth             7   3222 2113
      Canberra              8   2331 2123
      Hobart                8   2332 2113
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 11 DEC : 
      Darwin                8   (Quiet)
      Townsville           NA
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             30   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart               50   (Unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 11 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 10 Dec :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         9
           Planetary              9   3323 2322     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
12 Dec    10    Quiet to unsettled 
13 Dec     8    Quiet to unsettled 
14 Dec     8    Quiet to unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
11 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
12 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
13 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
14 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
11 Dec   143

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for December: 130

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
12 Dec   135    Near predicted monthly values 
13 Dec   135    Near predicted monthly values 
14 Dec   135    Near predicted monthly values 


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