[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 02 December 00

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 02 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 03 DECEMBER - 05 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL: GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 02 Dec:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 02 Dec: 167/121

GOES satellite data for 01 Dec
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.5E+05
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B7.9
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             03 Dec             04 Dec             05 Dec
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   165/119            160/114            155/109


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 02 Dec: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 02 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region        5   1111 2312
      Darwin                3   0111 2213
      Townsville            9   3--2 2312
      Learmonth             4   2111 2212
      Canberra              4   0111 2312
      Hobart                4   0111 2311
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 02 DEC : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           NA
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra              0   (Quiet)
      Hobart                0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 02 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 01 Dec :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              6   2202 2322     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
03 Dec    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
04 Dec     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
05 Dec    12    Unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.
 
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
04 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
05 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair   

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
02 Dec   166

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Spread F observed.


Predicted Monthly T index for December: 133

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
03 Dec   155    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Dec   155    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Dec   155    Near predicted monthly values 



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