[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 01 December 00

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 01 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 02 DECEMBER - 04 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 01 Dec:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Dec: 185/138

GOES satellite data for 30 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   6.9E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  3.7E+05
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B7.3
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             02 Dec             03 Dec             04 Dec
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   180/133            175/129            170/124


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 01 Dec: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 01 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region        7   2212 3211
      Darwin                7   2212 3211
      Townsville            9   3213 3220
      Learmonth             8   3112 322-
      Canberra              7   2212 3210
      Hobart                7   2212 3211
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 01 DEC : 
      Darwin               10   (Quiet)
      Townsville            0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             31   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart               41   (Unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 01 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 30 Nov :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              6   1122 2322     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
02 Dec    12    Unsettled 
03 Dec    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
04 Dec     8    Quiet to Unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
01 Dec      Normal         Normal         Fair-normal    
PCA Event : No Event.
 
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Dec      Normal         Normal         Fair-normal   
03 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        
04 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
01 Dec   140

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for December: 133

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
02 Dec   140    near predicted monthly values 
03 Dec   140    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Dec   140    Near predicted monthly values 



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