[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 15 October 24 issued 2331 UT on 15 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 OCTOBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Oct   152    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.9    0213UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.3    1006UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.7    1818UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      147
Oct      116
Nov      115


2. FORECAST (16 OCTOBER - 18 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Oct   155    Normal-fair      Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
17 Oct   155    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
18 Oct   155    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the northern Australian 
region were near predicted monthly values to enhanced by 30%, 
MUFs in the southern Australian region were enhanced by 20%. 
Spread F was observed at Hobart during local night. MUFs are 
expected to be near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced 
over the 16-18 Oct. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au