[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 14 October 24 issued 2331 UT on 14 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 OCTOBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Oct   147    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.4    0018UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.8    1337UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      147
Oct      116
Nov      115


2. FORECAST (15 OCTOBER - 17 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Oct   145    Normal-fair      Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
16 Oct   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
17 Oct   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 14-Oct were near predicted monthly values to 
enhanced by up to 25%, with the strongest enhancements observed 
in the southern Australian region and during local night. MUFs 
are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced 
over the 15-17 Oct. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au