[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 06 October 24 issued 2331 UT on 06 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Mon Oct 7 10:31:33 AEDT 2024


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 OCTOBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 Oct   161    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.4 05/2320UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    0147UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.3    1521UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.1    1645UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.4    1859UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.5    2121UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      147
Oct      116
Nov      115


2. FORECAST (07 OCTOBER - 09 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 Oct   160    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 30% enhanced
08 Oct   150    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 30% enhanced    
09 Oct   150    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 30% enhanced   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 113 was issued on 
5 October and is current for 6-7 Oct. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 6-Oct in the Australian region were enhanced 
by 15-30%. MUFs are expected to be near predicted values to 30% 
enhanced over 7-9 Oct.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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