[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 01 October 24 issued 2331 UT on 01 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 OCTOBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Oct   160    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M7.6    0000UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    1452UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.5    1918UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  X7.1    2220UT  probable   all    East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      147
Oct      116
Nov      115


2. FORECAST (02 OCTOBER - 04 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Oct   150    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
03 Oct   150    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
04 Oct   150    Normal           Near to 20% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 109 was issued on 
1 October and is current for 2-4 Oct. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 01-Oct were near predicted monthly values to 
20% enhanced. Scintillation was observed between 1148 to 1230 
UT in Darwin and Weipa. MUFs are expected to be near predicted 
monthly values to 20% enhanced over 02-04 Oct.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au