[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 11 05 24 issued 0650 UT on 12 May 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/0630Z MAY 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 11 05 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    0105UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  X5.8    0123UT  probable   all    West Pacific
  M1.2    0743UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.7    0915UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M3.1    1018UT  possible   lower  European
  X1.5    1144UT  probable   all    European
  M1.2    2041UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American


PCA Event : 10MeV (S1) Proton/PCA Event Began 11 05 2024 0210UT and
is in progress

Observed T index:    -1

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 50%
during local night. Depressed by 55% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 12 05 2024

Forecast T index:    5
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 40%.
Rest of day: Depressed 30-40%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    93
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for MAY 2024: 114



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au