[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 12 05 24 issued 0650 UT on 13 May 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/0630Z MAY 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 12 05 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.2    0045UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M2.4    0552UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.6    1241UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.0    1347UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.5    1356UT  possible   lower  European
  X1.0    1626UT  probable   all    South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M4.8    2032UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.1    2206UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    2310UT  possible   lower  West Pacific


PCA Event : Began at 1350UT 10/05, Ended at 0050UT 11/05
 and, Began at 0210UT 11/05, Ended at 1125UT 12/05
 

Observed T index:    75

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25%
during local night. Depressed by 40% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 13 05 2024

Forecast T index:   30
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 30%.
Rest of day: Depressed 20-30%
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    87
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for MAY 2024: 114



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au