[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (14 February 14) issued 0048 UT on 14 Feb 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 14 11:48:57 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (07 FEBRUARY - 13 FEBRUARY)
Date     07    08    09    10    11    12    13
10cm    178   172   169   161   172   160   167
AFr       7    19    11     9     3     5 (  4)
Aaus      9    25    11     5     4     8 (  2)
T       137   130   100   119   108   137   123

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

07 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.5 at 2305UT, an M2.0 at 0457UT, 
              and an M1.9 at 1029UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
In the IPS magnetometer data for 07 Feb, a weak (11nT) impulse 
was observed at 1707UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

08 Feb 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Unsettled to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

09 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.0 at 1623UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Feb 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

11 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.7 at 0332UT, and an M1.8 at 
              1654UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Feb 
Solar:        high, with an M3.7 at 0426UT, an M1.0 at 0613UT, 
              an M1.0 at 0637UT, an M2.3 at 0658UT, and an M2.1 
              at 1551UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

13 Feb 
Solar:        high, with an M1.8 at 0141UT, an M1.0 at 0252UT, 
              an M1.7 at 0607UT, an M1.0 at 0813UT, and an M1.3 
              at 1552UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (14 FEBRUARY - 20 FEBRUARY)
Solar: 
Moderate activity early in week.

Geomagnetic:  
Active on 16 Feb. Minor storm on 15 Feb.  Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
depressed at times by up to 30% on 16 Feb
briefly depressed after local dawn on 17 Feb
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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