[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (07 February 14) issued 0200 UT on 07 Feb 2014

Fri Feb 7 13:00:36 EST 2014

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 07 FEBRUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (31 JANUARY - 06 FEBRUARY)
Date     31    01    02    03    04    05    06
10cm    166   177   190   188   188   194   191
AFr       2     2     4     5     4     5 (  7)
Aaus      2     4     4     5     4     5 (  7)
T       135   138   141   137   142   146   154

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

31 Jan 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.1 at 1544UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

01 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.0 at 0126UT, and an M3.0 at 
              0724UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

02 Feb 
Solar:        high, with an M2.6 at 0634UT, an M2.2 at 0822UT, 
              an M4.4 at 0931UT, an M1.3 at 1406UT, an M1.0 at 
              1629UT, an M3.1 at 1812UT, and an M1.1 at 2143UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-35% 00, 07-20 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15-30% 00-07, 12-20 UT, otherwise near
      predicted monthly values at Darwin. Enhanced
      20-35% at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly 15-35% enhanced. Near predicted monthly
      values 05-09 UT Christchurch, Hobart, Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

03 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.3 at 2206UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Feb 
Solar:        high, with an M3.8 at 0123UT, an M1.2 at 0306UT, 
              an M5.2 at 0400UT, an M1.4 at 0952UT, and an M1.5 
              at 1602UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

05 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.3 at 1621UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

06 Feb 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.5 at 2305UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (07 FEBRUARY - 13 FEBRUARY)
Solar: 
Moderate activity early in week.

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions with possible isolated Active periods on 8-9 Feb

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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