[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (21 February 14) issued 0148 UT on 21 Feb 2014
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 21 12:48:48 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED ON 21 FEBRUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
1. SUMMARY (14 FEBRUARY - 20 FEBRUARY)
Date 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
10cm 167 162 154 152 151 158 156
AFr 4 7 14 4 6 30 ( 25)
Aaus 5 13 20 3 6 19 ( 20)
T 138 135 132 84 108 113 83
Solar: Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies
14 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M2.3 at 0257UT, an M1.6 at 1240UT,
an M1.1 at 1329UT, and an M1.0 at 1639UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
15 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
In the IPS magnetometer data for 15 Feb, a weak (13nT) impulse
was observed at 1318UT.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
No data available during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
16 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.2 at 0926UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Active
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
No data available.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
17 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available
Niue Island Region:
No data available
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 30% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
18 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available
Niue Island Region:
No data available
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
19 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Minor Storm
In the IPS magnetometer data for 19 Feb, a weak (9nT) impulse
was observed at 0348UT.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
No data available.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 15% over the UT day.
20 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M3.0 at 0802UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available
Niue Island Region:
No data available
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
2. FORECAST (21 FEBRUARY - 27 FEBRUARY)
Solar: Low to Moderate activity for the forecast week.
Geomagnetic: Active on 21-22 Feb. Possible Active conditions for 23 Feb.
Expecting Quiet to Unsettled on other days, dependent upon CME activity
early in the forecast week.
Frequencies: Briefly depressed after local dawn on 21-22 Feb
MUFs expected to be enhanced to near predicted monthly values on
other days.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
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