[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 14 March - issued 2342UT/13-Mar-2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Mar 14 10:42:23 EST 2015

Solar activity was moderate during Mar 13. Active Region 2297 produced
a M1.2 solar X ray flare peaking at 04:01 UT and a M1.8 solar flare
peaking at 06:07 UT. AR 2297 is located in a geoeffective region. It
is still magnetically complex and may be the source of further M class
flares. GONG H alpha telescope images show several dark solar
filaments (prominences) which also straddle geoeffective regions. The
solar wind conditions currently arriving at Earth are benign, but that
may change later this weekend. Solar wind disturbances emanating from
AR 2297 may affect Earth during the next 48 hours. This will result in
unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions. HF radio propagation
conditions are expected to be normal at mid-latitudes in the
Australian region during Mar 14. HF propagation conditions may be
strongly enhanced at equatorial and tropical locations.

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