[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 March 09

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z MARCH 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 10 MARCH - 12 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Mar:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Mar:  68/2

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Mar             11 Mar             12 Mar
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    70/5               70/5               70/5

COMMENT: ACE spacecraft shows solar wind conditions to be near 
normal. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Mar: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 09 Mar :  A   K           
   Australian Region       2   11111101
      Darwin               2   01111101
      Townsville           6   12222222
      Learmonth            1   10011100
      Camden               2   10111101
      Canberra             1   00011001
      Hobart               2   11111101
      Casey(Ant)           4   12221111
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         1
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              8   2133 3211     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Mar     4    Quiet 
11 Mar     4    Quiet 
12 Mar     4    Quiet 

COMMENT: Expect quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next three 
days. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
09 Mar   -14

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:   3

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 
11 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 
12 Mar   -10    near predicted monthly values/depressed 10 to 
                20% 

COMMENT: Noted milldly depressed conditions in the local day 
for the Australian region with several cases of sporadic E in 
Darwin during the local night. All other regions showed near 
normal HF conditions for this period in the solar cycle. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.1E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.80E+05   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 1%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 Mar
Speed: 425 km/sec  Density:    6.2 p/cc  Temp:    79400 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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