[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 27 November 07

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/2330Z NOVEMBER 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 27 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 28 NOVEMBER - 30 NOVEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 27 Nov:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 27 Nov:  71/6


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             28 Nov             29 Nov             30 Nov
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    70/5               70/5               70/5

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 27 Nov: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 27 Nov :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22212111
      Darwin               4   22112111
      Townsville           6   22222221
      Learmonth            5   22212121
      Camden               4   12212111
      Canberra             -   --------
      Hobart               3   1221100-
      Casey(Ant)          12   34-22223
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 27 Nov : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 27 Nov : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 26 Nov :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              8   3322 1112     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
28 Nov     7    Quiet 
29 Nov     6    Quiet 
30 Nov     7    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions are expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
27 Nov      Normal         Fair-Normal    Fair-Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
28 Nov      Normal         Normal         Normal        
29 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
30 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
COMMENT: Fair to normal conditions expected. 
-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
27 Nov   -28

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
     Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  11

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
28 Nov   -20    Mildly depressed (<15%) to near predicted monthly 
                values 
29 Nov   -20    Mildly depressed (<15%) to near predicted monthly 
                values 
30 Nov   -20    Mildly depressed (<15%) to near predicted monthly 
                values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 26 Nov
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   7.9E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.70E+08   (moderate fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:18%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 26 Nov
Speed: 589 km/sec  Density:    1.9 p/cc  Temp:   116000 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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