[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 14 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 14 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 15 JUNE - 17 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 14 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 14 Jun: 195/147

GOES satellite data for 13 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   8.6E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.80E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: C1.8
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             15 Jun             16 Jun             17 Jun
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   195/147            195/147            200/152

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 14 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 14 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       2   1101 0113
      Darwin               3   1201 0123
      Townsville           1   1100 0012
      Learmonth            7   2212 1324
      Canberra             0   0100 0012
      Hobart               1   1100 0012
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 14 JUN : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville          64   (Active)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart               4   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 14 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 13 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             14   3443 2332     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
15 Jun     8    Quiet to unsettled 
16 Jun     8    Quiet to unsettled 
17 Jun     8    Quiet to unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
14 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
15 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
16 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
17 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
14 Jun   139

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June: 118

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
15 Jun   130    Near predicted monthly values 
16 Jun   130    Near predicted monthly values 
17 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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