[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 February 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z FEBRUARY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 FEBRUARY AND FORECAST FOR 08 FEBRUARY - 10 FEBRUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Feb:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Feb: 164/118

GOES satellite data for 06 Feb
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.90E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: C1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Feb             09 Feb             10 Feb
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   165/119            165/119            165/119


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Feb: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 07 Feb :  A   K           
   Australian Region        5   2221 1122
      Darwin                7   3221 1223
      Townsville            5   2221 1122
      Learmonth             8   3222 2223
      Canberra              6   2321 1122
      Hobart                6   2231 1122
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 FEB : 
      Darwin               20   (Quiet)
      Townsville            4   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             2   (Quiet)
      Canberra             75   (Active)
      Hobart              131   (Severe storm)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Feb : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              7                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Feb :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        11
           Planetary             11   2143 2323     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Feb     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
09 Feb     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
10 Feb     8    Quiet to Unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
09 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
07 Feb   151

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for February: 116

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Feb   140    Near predicted monthly values 
09 Feb   140    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Feb   140    Near predicted monthly values 


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