[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 15 January 24 issued 2331 UT on 15 Jan 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Jan 16 10:31:06 EST 2024


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 JANUARY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Jan   132    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      110
Jan      106
Feb      105


2. FORECAST (16 JANUARY - 18 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Jan   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
17 Jan   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
18 Jan   140    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 15-Jan were 
mostly near predicted monthly values in the Australian region, 
with enhancements of up to 15% in the southern Australian region 
during local night. Sporadic-E was present across the Australian 
region over 15-Jan mostly during local dawn and dusk hours. MUFs 
are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced 
over 16-18 Jan. Sporadic-E is likely to persist during local 
dawn and dusk hours. Isolated shortwave fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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