[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 16 January 24 issued 2331 UT on 16 Jan 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/16 JANUARY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Jan   154    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      110
Jan      106
Feb      105


2. FORECAST (17 JANUARY - 19 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Jan   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
18 Jan   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
19 Jan   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 16-Jan in 
the Australian region were mostly near predicted monthly values 
to 20% enhanced. Sporadic-E was observed at some sites during 
local night hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly 
values to 15% enhanced over 17-19 Jan. Isolated minor shortwave 
fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au