[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 14 January 24 issued 2331 UT on 14 Jan 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Jan 15 10:31:04 EST 2024


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 JANUARY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Jan   163    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      110
Jan      106
Feb      105


2. FORECAST (15 JANUARY - 17 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Jan   155    Normal-fair      Near to 30% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
16 Jan   150    Normal-fair      Near to 30% predicted monthly 
                                 values    
17 Jan   155    Normal           Near to 30% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 14-Jan were 
enhanced 20-25% in most of the Australian region, and 45% in 
the northern region during local night. Sporadic-E was present 
at most sites on the Australian east coast during local dawn 
hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values 
to 30% enhanced over 15-17 Jan. Sporadic-E is likely to persist 
in the eastern parts of Australia during local night and dawn 
hours.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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