[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 06 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Feb 7 10:30:36 EST 2016


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 Feb    61    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      60
Feb      50
Mar      51


2. FORECAST (07 FEBRUARY - 09 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 Feb    70    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
08 Feb    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%    
09 Feb    60    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%   

COMMENT: MUFS were generally near predicted monthly values on 
most locations in the Aus/NZ regions with slight enhancements 
recorded on low and mid latitude locations during the last 24 
hours (06 Feb). Minor enhancements in MUFs are expected to continue 
on 07 February in the region. Short wave fadeouts are possible in 
the sunlit hemisphere 07-09 February, mainly due to some possibility 
of isolated M-class flaring from an active region 2494. Minor 
to mild degradation in HF conditions and depressions in MUFs 
in the Aus/NZ regions may be possible on 08 and 09 February due 
to expected enhancements in geomagnetic activity levels on these 
days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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