[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 05 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Feb    81    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      60
Feb      50
Mar      51


2. FORECAST (06 FEBRUARY - 08 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Feb    75    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
07 Feb    75    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
08 Feb    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 6 was issued on 4 
February and is current for 5-6 Feb. MUFS were generally near 
predicted monthly values on most locations in the Aus/NZ regions 
with slight enhancements recorded on mid latitude locations during 
the last 24 hours (05 Feb). Minor enhancements in MUFs are expected 
to continue 06-07 February in the region. Short wave fadeouts 
are possible in the sunlit hemisphere 06-08 February due to an 
active region with increased flare potential. Mostly normal HF 
conditions with MUFs near predicted monthly values, may be expected 
on 08 February in Aus/NZ regions.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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