[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 04 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 5 10:30:37 EST 2016
SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (04 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions
04 Feb 80 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Jan 60
Feb 50
Mar 51
2. FORECAST (05 FEBRUARY - 07 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
05 Feb 80 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
06 Feb 75 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
07 Feb 70 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 6 was issued on 4
February and is current for 5-6 Feb. MUFS were generally enhanced
over predicted monthly values at all latitudes during the last
24 hours (04 Feb). The most significant enhancements were seen
overnight and immediately after local dawn. Enhanced MUFs are
expected to continue 05-07 Feb. Short wave fadeouts possible
in the sunlit hemisphere 05-06 Feb due to a rapidly developing
solar active region with increased flare potential.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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